Predicting the diurnal variation of HF spectral occupancy over Sweden Haris Haralambous, Harris Papadopoulos, Lefteris Economou This paper presents the application of Neural Networks as a means of optimising the reliability of HF communication systems by predicting the detrimental effect of interference from other users and its variability due to the ionosphere. In particular, the development of a long-term interference prediction model for the HF spectrum is described. This model can be used in the absence of system capability to assess interference background in real time or near real time, to advise operators on typical interference occupancy levels and therefore assist in the planning of frequency usage and management. The dataset of diurnal occupancy measurements used for the model development was taken over a period of seven years (April 1994 to January 2000) at Linkoping and Kiruna (Sweden) in the frames of a long-term project being undertaken jointly by the University of Manchester and by the Swedish Defence Research Establishment, to measure systematically and to analyse the occupancy of the entire HF spectrum.